"Fundamental Shift"

Democrat Kathy Hochul has beaten Republican Jane Corwin in the special Congressional election in heavily Republican NY-26.  The seat was vacated by Republican Rep. Chris Lee, the "Craigslist Congressman" who resigned quickly after his shirtless ad surfaced.   A couple of months ago, Hochul was far behind in polling, as would be expected for a Democrat in this district, but that was before the Paul Ryan budget proposal to turn Medicare into a voucher system.  Corwin endorsed it and Hochul was strongly opposed.  Now, we see the result.  Jonathan Chait at The New Republic says that, while the race is almost certainly an outlier, the political landscape has "fundamentally shifted in the last six months."  He continues:

"Americans are just as likely as before to think things are going badly, but rather than direct all their anger at Democrats, they now have Republicans driving the agenda with a high-profile budget with wildly unpopular priorities. We haven’t returned to a 2006 or 2008 landscape, where the public held Republicans responsible for everything, but the pendulum has swung back."

Read more here.

And one other thing, Kathy Hochul supports marriage equality.  Corwin does not and Maggie Gallagher's National Organization for Marriage supported her.  I don't think marriage was a big issue in this campaign, but you can bet if Corwin had won, NOM would be taking credit for her victory and exploiting it as an example of how America doesn't want to redefine marriage, or whatever tortured phrase they're using now.